Do Baccarat Strategies Really Work?

By: Cecelia Calista    

Game of Baccarat

Can Baccarat strategies actually return a profit

Card Counting is commonly published in baccarat strategy books as a way of beating the casino. However this is a waste of time to the normal everyday player.

Baccarat card counting
Card counting is most often associated with the game of blackjack and is very effective, if used correctly in the right casino. It could also seem to be of real worth in baccarat as the game does work off a comparable shoe. The issue that causes the problem is that of used cards being reintroduced into the shoe before very many have been taken out, thereby ruining any count made up to that point. Baccarat does not allow the player the right to change their bet mid hand. Blackjack allows this practice in a number of specific cases, and the player can increase his bet if his count changes during play. In baccarat, card counting presents very few situations with the advantage against the house that the actual overall labours are of no value to the player at all.

Baccarat is sometimes considered a very elaborate coin toss game. This oversimplified impression of the game lures many players to using the “Martingale based” system of betting, which entails doubling up on your bet each time a hand is lost. The logic being that you will eventually have to win, and the doubling will allow you to recoup any losses made from all the preceding hands. A perfect system indeed and one that actually can't be beaten in games like baccarat or roulette, and it is because of this that casinos issued new rules. The new rules limit how much a player can bet per hand.

Casinos effectively got rid of the threat of the Martingale System gambler or player by setting Table maximums i.e. if a  player bets £5 on the banker and lost, next bet, £10 on the banker, next bet £20, etc, and they continues to lose. Before long, their bet will have doubled up to a point that it will exceed the table maximum. In this case the player cannot bet any higher and their system has failed. The Martingale System is a horrific betting system that follows a human beings panic thinking - their natural thought pattern that somehow believes that if a coin lands heads up nine times in a row, there is a greater chance than 50 per cent that it will land tails on the 10th flip. This is of course ridiculous and merely an assumptive guess at probability. It still has a 50/50 chance with each flip.

These strategies and systems such as card counting, pattern spotting, streak spotting etc are worthless strategies for baccarat. You may ask: Is there any good ones? When you analyse the numbers, the odds do seem to always be in favour when a player bets on the banker, though this is a very boring tactic to play. Perhaps throw in some pattern chasing to break the tedium, or count the scorecards!


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